Danroush wrote:Tet wrote:Danroush wrote:There's the concept of the "home advantage" due to a mix of reasons.
Mostly not, no. It largely comes down to a single reason: crowd pressure forcing the referee to make decisions favourable to the home side. The home advantage is real and measurable. But there have been numerous studies into why and the conclusions are surprising. By any measurement we can come up with, the home players don't play any better. The away players don't play any worse. The players tire at the same rate whether they're playing home or away. Pass completion, shot accuracy etc. are all unaffected. The only statisticaly significant change is the way the referee's decisions go.
Source: I've made my living by betting on football for most of the last decade. It's important to know this sort of stuff.
Is there any of those stats that you're free to link? I'm quite curious. Also you mention no difference in play from the statistics you measured, I'm guessing there is a difference in results but you're putting that down purely to refereeing as opposed to anything else. Also do you just focus on the premier league or also include teams further down?
If ref pressure is the measure of home advantage, then we have a home disadvantage at Ewood given the amount of dodgy penalties we've had against us recently.